Tracking the Tropics: Eyes remain on Invest 92L in the western Caribbean

Photo provided by the NWS Houston.

Invest 92L has two possible outcomes: It heads to the northern Gulf or it heads to Texas

Wednesday, August 14, 2013 - 5:25pm

We continue to monitor an area of low pressure in the western Caribbean Sea. It's part of a wave bringing in deep tropical moisture.

The tropical wave is heading northwest at 12-18 mph. Right now, spaghetti models remain split on the path of this next possible system. Global models also remain undecided on the path.

There are really two senarios regarding the possible tropical development of this area of low pressure.

Option #1: The low develops into a tropical storm directly after passing the Yucatan Pennisula. Steering winds would drive the tropical storm northward towards the northern Gulf. Landfall would most likely be a near the Florida-Alabama line as a tropical storm. Heavy rain and potential flooding would be a major concern for the Gulf Coast and Louisiana for the upcoming weekend.

Option #2: The tropical wave would never close and would remain open. Its path would be directly west northwest towards northern Mexico and southern Texas. There would be no threat to Louisiana.

The latest tropical update will be out shortly. For more information of Invest 92L, visit FOX 48's Storm Watch section.

Storm Watch

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